Publications

The attached study by the Syrian Center for Policy Research provides an analytical impact assessment of the potential American strike on the scenarios of the crisis in Syria. The study complements continuous research efforts within the framework of “Exploring Alternative Solutions for the Syrian Crisis”, a project launched and implemented ...

This report is the first of five quarterly reports produced in cooperation between UNRWA and Syrian Center for Policy Research (SCPR). These aim to provide an on-going assessment of the socioeconomic landscape in Syria during the current crisis by using available official updates and utilizing econometric models to estimate other ...

Socioeconomic Impacts Of The Syrian Crisis  

This report aims to estimate the socioeconomic impact of the current crisis in Syria. In this regard, diagnosis of developmental roots of the crisis was conducted to develop an understanding of deficiencies that led to the current situation. Then, socioeconomic impact of the crisis has been analyzed and estimated during ...

The political movement, sparked off in Syria in March 2011 with the main demand being political freedoms, is an indication that the society has reached unacceptable stages of institutional, economic and social development. This paper highlights the economic factors affecting such movement from a comprehensive development perspective. Authors Rabie Nasser ...

A decrease of the investment and particularly public investment contribution to economic growth, and the relatively high contribution of the private consumption affected by the consumption of Iraqi families since HIES showed a decrease in Syrian households spending between 2004 and 2009.  

The weak contribution of real sectors such as agriculture and industry in the economic growth between 2001 and 2010. Whereas, wholesale and retail trade and government services were the main drivers of growth.  

Syria achieved a relatively high economic growth rate with an average of 4.45% between 2001 and 2010. The main source of economic growth is capital accumulation, whereas, labor and human capital have a relatively weak contribution.  

The structural economic, social, and institutional distortions led for Syria to relative decrease in GDP per capita and Human Development Index comparing to a number of Arab countries in addition to Turkey and Malaysia. This has reflected in a frustration among Syrians and particularly among youth.  

A decrease in oil exports and an increase of non-oil exports accompanied with a huge increase in imports have led to a surge in trade balance deficit, whereas the services balance had a surplus due to the flourishing tourism sector.